From: owner-ammf-digest@smoe.org (alt.music.moxy-fruvous digest) To: ammf-digest@smoe.org Subject: alt.music.moxy-fruvous digest V14 #9549 Reply-To: ammf@fruvous.com Sender: owner-ammf-digest@smoe.org Errors-To: owner-ammf-digest@smoe.org Precedence: bulk alt.music.moxy-fruvous digest Friday, August 19 2022 Volume 14 : Number 9549 Today's Subjects: ----------------- BONUS: $100 IKEA Gift Card Opportunity ["Ikea Opinion Requested" Subject: BONUS: $100 IKEA Gift Card Opportunity BONUS: $100 IKEA Gift Card Opportunity http://grasp.za.com/nm3DrMZXlNg9xH6nSTU_WE2Gr93GvHK0T_PwGubhqLdvrS-HGA http://grasp.za.com/MkAqTSykKN1-0yOl7xMoXWB5Sf_hCl83dwYjeKdL7upwSQKSqQ xperiments have found repeatedly that people tend to test hypotheses in a one-sided way, by searching for evidence consistent with their current hypothesis.:?177b178? Rather than searching through all the relevant evidence, they phrase questions to receive an affirmative answer that supports their theory. They look for the consequences that they would expect if their hypothesis was true, rather than what would happen if it was false. For example, someone using yes/no questions to find a number they suspect to be the number 3 might ask, "Is it an odd number?" People prefer this type of question, called a "positive test", even when a negative test such as "Is it an even number?" would yield exactly the same information. However, this does not mean that people seek tests that guarantee a positive answer. In studies where subjects could select either such pseudo-tests or genuinely diagnostic ones, they favored the genuinely diagnostic. The preference for positive tests in itself is not a bias, since positive tests can be highly informative. However, in combination with other effects, this strategy can confirm existing beliefs or assumptions, independently of whether they are true. In real-world situations, evidence is often complex and mixed. For example, various contradictory ideas about someone could each be supported by concentrating on one aspect of his or her behavior. Thus any search for evidence in favor of a hypothesis is likely to succeed. One illustration of this is the way the phrasing of a question can significa ------------------------------ End of alt.music.moxy-fruvous digest V14 #9549 **********************************************